Wednesday, November 26, 2008

So How Do You Beat Tech?

That's an excellent question.
There are those that believe that Oklahoma provided a blueprint on how to beat the Red Raiders last Saturday. Those people are out of their minds. If Tech comes out ready to play and is focused, we lose. We need to play our best game and Tech needs to be down for us to have a chance on Saturday.
As far as Tech not being ready to play, the stars seem to be aligning for that to happen. The loss to Tech virtually locks them into the Cotton Bowl win or lose, a weird week with Thanksgiving, and they are playing Baylor who has won 4 games this year. Tech also generally has a "WTF" game every year where they lay an egg to a vastly inferior opponent.

There are two ways in my opinion to beat Leach's offense. The first is what Oklahoma did on Saturday and what Missouri has done the past two time the Tigers have beaten Tech. That is to bring pressure with the front four and rush the decision making of the quarterback. Much easier said than done obviously. Baylor doesn't have the personnel to do that kind of thing and even if they had a good pass rush, the secondary is being held together with fishing line and scotch tape. The second possible way to slow that offense down is to confuse it. The best job I've ever seen a Baylor team do this was in 2005 in what I think was Bill Bradley's best scheme ever. You'll remember that game as the one that Baylor lost to the Red Raiders 22-0 but was 6-0 at halftime (Side note about this game: it would have been totally different if the Bears had not had a touchdown taken off the board for being out of bounds when the replay showed otherwise). Bradley basically had the front 7 or 8 guys standing up at the line of scrimmage before the snap. Between 3 and 5 would rush and the rest drop into coverage. Cody Hodges had a tough time making his pre-snap reads. He completed only 50% of his passes and threw two picks.
Given the Baylor personnel, the confusion method is our only chance. I'm guessing we'll see more of Lamb moving in to the tackle spot and Antonio Johnson coming down to end for more pass rush. We shouldn't care if we are basically asking for Tech to run for 8 yards a pop. I think Leach has too much of an ego to run the ball 12 times in a row even if we give it to him. Hopefully, Norwood and company have come up with something to slow this offense down. For us to have a chance, we need to keep them in the 30s. I think Griffin and the offense will be able to score. If by some miracle we get a two score lead at some point I believe the Tech offense becomes more predictable and their defense has shown that it has a tough time stopping teams with strong running games. We'll see how this plays out.
But like I said, if Tech is ready to play......

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Trap Game?



I think the biggest unknown going into the game on Saturday is how Tech responds to the beating that Oklahoma put on them last weekend. If they come out fired up, it could get ugly real fast for Baylor fans. In my mind, it has to be a huge let down to be in the National Championship conversation and then be relegated to 3rd in your own division while still having the same record as the top two teams (and beating one of them).

From the look at the Red Raider fan sites, the folks from Lubbock are much more concerned about where the BCS ratings have them than Saturday's game. Even coach Leach is talking about it.

Let's be real here. Baylor is 22 point dogs. Tech is going to have to play another really bad game and we're going to have to play above our heads to win (especially on defense). Later, I'll outline the formula to win on Saturday.






Monday, November 24, 2008

Am I Late to the Party?


I know I'm jumping into this with one game left in the season but my life motto is "better late than never." I'll try to bring a perspective that you don't get when it comes to Baylor sports and any other topic of my chooing.
This week we'll look at the game to end the season versus Tech and analyze the season. After that, we'll start following recruiting and get into some basketball stuff.
Until then, just ignore the fact that the Pirates of the Plains are 22 point favorites for Saturday and start believing we can pull the upset. This week, I'll tell you how it's possible.....or how it's impossible.